CIHS – Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies

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Tread with caution: taxes & resources

Finance Minister may lean on Chanakya and Thiruvalluvar yet again to sell tax reforms, manage meagre resources and still provide relief to honest taxpayers K.A.Badarinath / New Delhi “Taxation should not be a painful process for the people. There should be leniency and caution while deciding the tax structure. Ideally, governments should collect taxes like a honeybee, which sucks just the right amount of honey from the flower so that both can survive. Taxes should be collected in small and not in large proportions” said Chanakya in arthashashtra of 1534 BC vintage. This should hold good for finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman when she rises to present her tax proposals for 2022-23 as part of the union budget in parliament on February 1. Chanakya’s celebrated treatise, arthashastra on socio-economic principles has been her beacon in last three budgets. Her predecessor and mentor, late Arun Jaitley had leaned heavily on the celebrated Indian administrator to tide over tight economic situation in the past. This time round, it may not be any different. And, one can expect Nirmala Sitharaman to dip into Chanakya’s teachings next Tuesday in articulating her taxation package. Her tax proposals in all probability should not only push growth but allow enough resources in the hands of individuals, families and companies to meet expenses, consume and invest as the case may be. Buoyant GST collections that ranged between Rs 130,000 – 140,000 crore during April – December 2021 and improving situation following Omicron induced Covid 19 third wave should provide her the confidence to roll out an acceptable tax package that will push consumption led demand for goods and services. First thing the finance minister may attempt is heed the advice on pruning the ten corporate income tax rates that range between 5.2 per cent to 42.744 per cent applicable to domestic and foreign companies based on their turnover, area of operation and uniqueness. Effective taxation will have to be brought down taking revenue considerations on board. Can effective tax rates for companies actually be brought under 5 – 35 per cent bracket is perhaps what Finance Minister should consider? Her corporate tax proposals may have to include the foreign companies that may expand their presence as part of on-going Make in India and Production Linked Incentives campaigns. Getting rid of all surcharges and cesses levied at every touch point on corporate income tax and GST may have to be considered by the finance minister though its easy said than done. Revenue considerations notwithstanding, reining in the fiscal deficit to below six per cent should be considered while rejigging the tax table. Same is the case with redrawing income tax rates for individuals. While there have been suggestions for aggressively taxing the rich individuals, wealth creators and job givers may be allowed the leeway to get on their work without liquidity squeeze. There have been suggestions to consider the work from home allowance provided by companies for inclusion under standard income tax deductions provisions owing to over two years pandemic. Similarly, professionals and workers have lost their pay big time and millions have been given the pink slips. Finance Minister Sithraman may have to find ways for providing them some relief as has been done in last budget. Her predecessor Arun Jaitley has been popular with both companies and individual taxpayers as he managed to provide succour to each one of these categories in every one of his five unblemished budgets. Sitharaman will do well in adopting this time tested approach. Not just the actual tax burden, as Chanakya’s arthashastra surmises, taxes should be easy to calculate, convenient to pay, inexpensive to administer and equitable in its burden on various stakeholders. Taking forward these tax reforms – on both direct and indirect fronts – is need of the hour. One big avenue for mobilization of revenues has been sale of government stakes in large state-run companies as part of its determined bid to get out of the business of being in business. While LIC initial public offer and offer for sale (OFS) should bring in about Rs 115,000 crore, getting divestment and strategic salee of BPCL where Rs 55,000 crore has been targeted should be done next fiscal. Similarly selling IDBI Bank at a valuation of Rs 25,000 crore and two more state-owned banks should be pursued aggressively, if that helps reorganizing the banking sector. Similarly, selling Shipping Corporation, Pawan Hans and BEML in part or as on where basis should bring in another Rs 40,000 crore. Well most of these companies and banks were on her radar already. But, the sale did not move forward this fiscal for a number of factors. Achieving disinvestment targets may help find resources for ambitious capital investments as well as development expenses especially in infrastructure, health and education apart from providing water at every door step. Barring a few tweaks in GST rates as per recommendations of GST Council that she heads, drastic restructuring on the economic front may have to wait especially from taxation side. As Tamil saint philosopher Thiruvalluvar in Tirukkural postulated, finance minister may have to take a pragmatic view of both domestic and external economic situation while unveiling the finance bill. Yet another predecessor of Sitharaman, Palaniappan Chidambaram had taken refuge in Tirukkural to sell UPA’s economic agenda. The tamil philosopher saint may not have had finance ministers in mind while writing 1300-odd aphorisms. But, saint Thiruvalluvar’s couplets have withstood the test even in twenty first century on tax breaks, prioritizing expenses from the government kitty. Kural’s chapter on knowledge of power came handy for Chidambaram to ward off unwanted pressure from different lobbies and stakeholders. Take care not to give up exertion in the midst of work, the world will abandon those who abandon their unfinished work. Accumulate wealth in order to spend it. These two kurals of Thiruvalluvar can guide finance minister in her jest for reforms, managing resources and economy. Over to Finance Minister! (Author is Director & Chief Executive of Centre for Integrated and

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Growth, Growth & more Growth should be the mantra!

Work opportunities for seekers & carving out more job-givers be the focus, emphasis on big picture will drive economic expansion K.A.Badarinath / New Delhi When finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman rises to present her fourth budget in continuum on February 1, the dedicated app, tablet or bahri katha will in all likelihood croon ‘naya bharat’ – New India — big time. One should not miss this soft singing for the determined bid she will make by laying threadbare plans to build ‘New India’ of her leader Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s dreams. As the country gets ready for next economic prosperity cycle, 75-years post-independence, this plan and vision to turn India into a global economic power house would definitely be significant. Finance Minster Sitharaman who’s credited with steering the economy through the Covid 19 pandemic deftly cannot afford to ignore or set aside the challenges that besiege Indian economy in medium term. Well, if third wave of corona virus infections is waning out as experts believe, this should signal a comprehensive plan to rebuild what was lost to the pandemic and nurture the dream of $ 5 trillion economic muscle that drives the global growth impulses. GDP growth of 9.2 per cent projected for 2021-22, highest in 17-years should be the basis for rolling out the big picture while holding the handle firmly to sustain this growth momentum next five years in a row. Crude prices hitting $ 100 from current $ 86 per barrel may be the first big challenge she needs to factor in her budget package. Fuel induced inflationary pressures is what could moderate her big plans. Let’s not forget that fuel inflation was 10.95 per cent in December, 2021, 13.35 per cent in November 2021 and 14.35 per cent. With oil imports to cross $ 100 billion again next fiscal, reining in consumer centric inflation will still be a tricky preposition given that it touched 5.59 per cent in December 2021. Pointing to inflationary pressures leading to interest rate hikes is not to distract the Finance Minister away from her top priority to put the economy on high growth trajectory. We should be able to live with 4 – 6 per cent retail inflation next three years even as Nirmala Sitharaman goes about methodically in fiscal consolidation to putting economy on firm expansion mode. Unlike US and Europe that are swept with 30 – 40 years high consumer inflation, India still has headroom in inflation management as well as moderating interest rates. Growth, growth and more growth should be the only mantra that dictates Finance Minister’s budget package which got deviated last two years owing to Covid 19 management and related expenses. A conscious call will have to be taken on front-ending capital and infrastructure investments with at least 10 per cent increase in budget expenditure that was pegged at Rs 34,83,236 crore for 2021-22. Government will have to tango both domestic and foreign investors to sustain healthy growth momentum with expansion in industry, services as well as exports. Since farmers have delivered and continue to do so with about four per cent agriculture growth, emphasis should be on industrial expansion and double digit growth of services with focus on external markets. In this big picture, keeping the fiscal deficit at six per cent may not be a breeze next fiscal but doable given that 6.8 per cent target set for 2021-22 is all set to be achieved. Healthy growth in goods and services tax revenues is a big plus in deficit management. About Rs 1.29 lakh crore collection in December 2021 and Rs 1.31 lakh crore in the month before only hints at pent up consumer demand that’s driving sales and resultant revenue mop up. Merchandise exports at about $ 400 billion in 2021-22 are again a possibility. During January 1 – 7, 2022 alone, exports grew by about 25 per cent to $ 7.63 billion. Even in December 2021, India clocked an export growth of 36.2 per cent to $ 23.8 billion in just three weeks. This momentum needs to be sustained to touch a possible $ 500 billion in the entire next fiscal. Putting together a big package to boost India’s share in global merchandise exports is something that Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman can do. Given the adage that taxes are not exported, boosting tax revenues through exports is not what should happen. Instead exports linked manufacturing will help increase the work opportunities that have been hard to come by. Setting up export-linked manufacturing infrastructure will drive growth in near future. This brings us to oft discussed question of growth versus jobs. Without creating jobs for millions of aspiring youngsters or an environment for job-givers, the $ 5 trillion dream means nothing for 1.4 billion Indians that are on the move. Official data shows that 1.39 million net new jobs were created in November 2021 registering 37.9 per cent increase year on year basis. Finance Minister Sitharaman will have to carve out opportunities for workers in informal sector where millions may have to get into manufacturing, services and export-linked merchandise production. This needs to get a little innovative, if her budget package has to be accepted and sustained. (Author is Director & Chief Executive Officer at Centre for Integrated & Holistic Studies. Views expressed are author’s own.)

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